← Whimsy RDO Store Championships
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Whimsy RDO Store Championships
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Nico | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempestuous Seraphim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ensoul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Votive Runeblade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sabela, Gossamer Penance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vestal Priestess | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Benediction Angel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Retribution | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Gyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ardus, Floodborne Deacon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dummy Trainer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |